GayandRight

My name is Fred and I am a gay conservative living in Ottawa. This blog supports limited government, the right of the State of Israel to live in peace and security, and tries to expose the threat to us all from cultural relativism, post-modernism, and radical Islam. I am also the founder of the Free Thinking Film Society in Ottawa (www.freethinkingfilms.com)

Friday, December 02, 2005

Why it is NOT important to stop global warming...

I like Bjorn Lomborg a lot - he's the author of the skeptical environmentalist - a book that everybody should read.
To be sure, global warming is real, and it is caused by carbon dioxide. The trouble is that today's best climate models show that immediate action will do little good. The Kyoto Protocol will cut carbon dioxide emissions from industrialized countries by 30 percent below what it would have been in 2010 and by 50 percent in 2050. Yet, even if everyone (including the US) lived up to the protocol's rules, and stuck to it throughout the century, the change would be almost immeasurable, postponing warming for just six years in 2100.

Likewise, the economic models tell us that the cost would be substantial -- at least US$150 billion a year. In comparison, the UN estimates that half that amount could permanently solve all of the world's major problems: It could ensure clean drinking water, sanitation, basic health care, and education for every single person in the world, now.

Global warming will mainly harm developing countries, because they are poorer and therefore more vulnerable to the effects of climate change. However, even the most pessimistic forecasts from the UN project that by 2100 the average person in developing countries will be richer than the average person in developed countries is now.

So early action on global warming is basically a costly way of doing very little for much richer people far in the future. We need to ask ourselves if this should, in fact, be our first priority.
I don't agree with Lomborg that carbon dioxide causes global warming, but not matter, we both agree that it is useless to try and stop it.

7 Comments:

Blogger RoninKengo said...

Then what IS causing global warming good sir?

6:36 PM  
Blogger KW said...

What exactly is the logic behind the 2100 prediction that the average person in under-developed countries will be richer than the average person in today's civilized nations??

7:03 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Temperature has gone up and down throughout the earth's history. To what extent human's are causing any current raise is quite uncertain, and to what extent expensive actions taken today to prevent it will pay off is even more uncertain.

7:06 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Then what IS causing global warming good sir?"

Mother Nature

10,00 years go if you lived in what is now Cananda you would underneath 2-5 miles of ice.

The Planet has warmed up all by itself.

7:42 PM  
Blogger Jarrett said...

"Then what IS causing global warming good sir?"

Ask those who live on Mars - they're experiencing it too.

9:30 PM  
Blogger RoninKengo said...

Hey I'm open to the idea of natural weather cycles resulting in the temperature increase etc.

Man's role in global warming has yet to be definitively proven the way I look at it.

Just wanted to know your opinion, since you didn't really state it in the blog.

12:10 AM  
Blogger GayandRight said...

If you want to read more about Lomborg and global warming that look up the Copenhagen Consensus. He got a variety of economists together and everybody was in agreement that fighting global warming should be a very low priority.

11:09 AM  

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