My election prediction

Ok, Here it is. My election prediction.

Liberals 120 (-15)
Conservatives 102 (+3)
Bloc 60 (+6)
NDP 26 (+7)

Note: There was one independent in the last election (Cadman) and that seat should now go the Conservatives.

Here's my reasoning. I think the Bloc are set to pick up about 6 seats in Quebec. At the most, they could pick up 7 seats, but they might lose one or two. The NDP look set to pick up a few seats in Saskatchewan and BC. The Conservatives might pick up a few seats in Ontario, but they will also lose some to the NDP.

Add it all up and you get minimal gains for the Conservatives. However, my prediction leaves the Liberals & the NDP together far short of a majority. This raises two possibilities - first, that Stephen Harper become Prime Minister with the tacit support of the Bloc. Second, the possibility of a national unity government with the Liberals and the Conservatives.

Comments? Your prediction?